On Bush’s Cuba speech

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President Bush’s call for “an international ‘freedom fund’ for Cuba that would finance reconstruction,” gives me the heebie jeebies. Seriously? U.S. led reconstruction? You’re pitching that?

I don’t understand what the point of his speech was, or more to the point, why it was given now. Bush is not running for office again, so it’s not like he’s trying to gin up electoral support in Florida. WSo what does that leave? The U.S. is completely impotent when it comes to Cuba. The embargo precludes any leverage we might have over the regime. Our military is stretched thin, and our diplomatic credibility is at its nadir. How does Bush plan to have any impact on the island?

The sad truth is that Raul (with his Army) will take over completely when Fidel dies and there won’t be any uprising. What we can hope is that the event will give a future president an opening to remove the embargo and engage Cuba. Raul’s model is China, and hopefully he’ll at least emulate their economic openness. With time he’ll pass away too (he’s not much younger), and the technocrats and military men that take over will hopefully be persuaded by money to continue opening. ¡Hay, Cubita!

Oct 25, 2007 | Comments | Tags: , ,

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